Movie mafia THE END

[Quailman]

That's what I was thinking about about Phillip Vandamm from North by Northwest. That was James Mason's character. It was Cary Grant who saved Eva Marie Saint on the face of Mount Rushmore at the end. If the mason group is, as I suspect, a bunch of James Mason roles, then one like that could also be a mafia spy or something.

[Raist]

quote:

---

Vote count update, 11 to lynch, no deadline:
Kd 3 (Mackay, Sparticus, Sweetwater)
Sparticus 1 (Hitchhiker)
Quailman 1 (Kd)
Jesternl 1 (Green Crayons)
Xer0x 1 (Werebear)
Werbear 1 (Darkblade)
Quagmire 1 (Damelon)
Raist 1 (Xer0x)
Taflinel 1 (TANSTAAFL)

marker

---

Did my post (reply 20) not show up on anyone else's screen or something???

[Damelon]

Originally posted by Raist:

---

Did my post (reply 20) not show up on anyone else's screen or something???

---

Originally posted by Mackay:

---

I think Raist may well be right about Freddy being the one with a lot of knives.

---

Probably did, Raist. Although DP must have some sort of filter set up.

[Hitchhiker]

Maybe we should change Raist's title to "Invisible Member."

[Raist]

I was going to joke about role claiming as the invisible man, but considering how things have gone so far I was afraid someone might think I was serious

[Taflinel]

Vote: Quagmire (random)

Ta ta

[Darkblade]

Unvote: Werebear

Vote: sweetwater

"randomly" voted for some one with two votes already on her. The probability of that happenen by chance is rather low.

[sweetwater]

I used Excel's random function in the lineup of players, and kd happened to have the lowest value returned. That's why I voted her. Each player had an equal chance of being selected, so my voting for kd was indeed a random event. It had nothing to do with the vote count.

[Damelon]

[Raist]

the odds would seem to be 1 in 20... but I was never very good at higher math

[Dragon Phoenix]

Vote count update, including the vote by the invisble man this tyime, 11 to lynch, no deadline:

Kd 3 (Mackay, Sparticus, Sweetwater)
Quagmire 2 (Damelon, Taflinel)
Sweetwater 2 (Raist, Darkblade)
Sparticus 1 (Hitchhiker)
Quailman 1 (Kd)
Jesternl 1 (Green Crayons)
Xer0x 1 (Werebear)
Raist 1 (Xer0x)
Taflinel 1 (TANSTAAFL)

marker

[Porro]

Originally posted by Kd:

---

c) Something else... both Leo and ref had the power to have someone killed. There may be others with this ability.

---

I'm not sure whether there are likely to be many more pro-town killers, but with 3 (presumably) evil killing groups/people I certainly expect there to be a lot of interesting/useful pro-town roles, as there were in DP's last Discworld themed game.

As discussed by others above, I do not believe that there would be a single mason. It'd defeat the whole point of masonhood.

[Werebear]

Unvote: xerOx (it was a silly vote anyways)

And if an untampered with, unbiased coin has been flipped 20 times and came up heads every time, the EXACT possability of the coin being flipped the 21st time and it being heads is 1:2, or 50%. It doesn't matter what has been flipped before, a coin flip is ALWAYS a 50% chance.

Now, if you were calculating the probability of flipping a coin 21 times and having it come up with heads every time, that would be 1:1048576, or .000095%. I think. You get the idea anyways. Any questions?

[jadesmar]

Yes.

Questions:
Would these probabilities change if
a. There is no way to verify that any coin has been flipped. or
b. There is a possibility that someone would lie about the results to force a bandwagon?

[Damelon]

No. The veracity of the results would be in question, but the probability would remain the same.

[Quailman]

vote: Sweetwater

Random to the extent that a random vote resulted in a third-on-a-bandwagon, and that's who I voted for. Oh no - I'm the third voter for Sweetwater. ~grits teeth and prepares for impact~

[MadMax]

MadMax and ChienFous are offline for a few days due to power surge.

[Quailman]

I must remember to stop by the video store on the way home and check out a few movies...

Damelon Seed
Darkblade
The DMTSurel Thing
Anne of Green Crayons
Hitchhiker
Jadesmar
JDTAY's Revenge
The Court Jesternl
Kd
Mackay's Gold
Madmax
Quagmire
Raist
The Mask of Porro
Sparticus
Sweetwater
Taflinel Enough
Tanstaafl
The Werebear
Xer0x

[Werebear]

They myth-speeled Sparticus! how dare they!? Very amusing list, I felt sure you'd put "An American Werebear in London" in there...

[Werebear]

bah, forgot why I was posting. Will be out of town for TWO DAYS, back sunday afternoon. Two days. No kids. Pinch me. No, really.

[Hitchhiker]

(Have fun, Bear!)

More notes on probability: a truly random vote, as the day goes on (and more people have voted), has an increasing chance of landing on someone who's already been voted for. People who voted later in the day, if they vote randomly, are more likely to start a bandwagon.

Mafia (and masons) have slightly less random votes, of course, because they probably won't vote for one of their own. But they still might, just to muddy the waters.

[Damelon]

Well, probably not as a mason. But that is a mafia tactic. Samadhi did that often.

[DMTsurel]

vote:mudbuck

[DMTsurel]

Sorry, wrong mafia.
vote:taflinel

[MadMax]

Unless I am wrong JDTAY and Jesternl have yet to speak.

for this reason I JDTAY......random of the 2.


PS.....We are back on line.

[MadMax]

That should be I VOTE JDTAY

[TANSTAAFL]

Quailman: How'd you pick that movie for me?

[Quailman]

Tenstaafl was the cosest I could come.

[JDTAY]

MadMax, I'm sorry that I've been so quiet, but I just haven't been able to come up with anything interesting to add to the discussion. I really don't know that much about classic movies.

[Quailman]

Maybe this works better for TANSTAAFL, though I had based the first movie on the resemblance to Ms. Derek and my own personal fantasies.

BTW, JDTAY, you don't need to know anything about classic movies to participate. I had to look up Madame Bovary. I had head of the novel but not the movie. And it wasn't until much later that I made the connection between BT being a mason and the fact that the role was played by James Mason. You are being much too quiet. The last time I was in a game with you, your silence turned out to be the result of guilt at having blood on your hands. Hmmmm....

[Darkblade]

I'm off to a debate tournie this weekend. Try not to kill me while I'm gone.

[Green Crayons]

Uh, right. I'm sticking my vote on Jester, as he has yet to speak.

And i'm sure he's guilty or something. Undoubtedly.

[xer0x]

I don't know anything about classic movies. Unvote: Raist after realising that I've been a complete dolt.

[Dragon Phoenix]

It's the usual first day sluggishness. Let's see whether a (retractable) deadline will help.

Deadline Tuesday 2PM GL time.

[Damelon]

*helps hurry it along*
Unvote: Quagmire
Vote: KD

[Sparticus]

Meh. I'll stay with Kd. Maybe my dice will be right for once.

[Porro]

Vote:Quailman for the use of obvious diversionary tactics.

Or maybe he's just got too much time on his hands
Even if they were very amusing

[Agamemnon]

You stole my Cricket player ideas!!!!!!!!!

Pah!

[Kd]

Originally posted by Spart:

---

Maybe my dice will be right for once.

---

You're willing to trust something with 20 different faces? But I can assure you that lynching me isn't going to help my fellow townsfolk. Don't take my actions as a sign of guilt. I have nothing to be guilty for. I'm simply doing what everyone else does - trying to minimise my chances of getting killed.

Unvote: Quailman

Vote: sweetwater

[Damelon]